I like this article about guarantees in retirement. The items in it, while not really guaranteed to happen, would lose you money most of the time betting against them. See this posting from MarketWatch in the Wall Street Journal by Paul Merriman:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/eight-guarantees-retirees-can-count-on-2013-05-22
Even if these things are not guaranteed but just likely to be true, following this advice will probably make you wealthier over time.
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